2016-2020 Validated Voter Detailed tables

	A	B	C	D	E	F	G	H	I	J	K	L	M	N	O	P	Q	R	S	T	U	V	W	X	Y	Z	AA	AB
1	2016, 2018 and 2020 Voter Demographics, Based on Validated Voters										Terms of Use		Privacy policy
2	Detailed tables for "Behind Biden's 2020 Victory"				Note (July 2023): A new report about the 2022 validated voters used slightly revised 2020 estimates. There was nothing inaccurate about the 2020 results, but we chose to use a slightly different survey weighting approach that increases the precision of our estimates. None of the substantive findings have been impacted. To view the revised 2020 data, click here. See the 2022 methodology for more detail.
3	Pew Research Center report released June 30, 2021
4	Full Pew Research Center report: https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2021/06/30/behind-bidens-2020-victory/				Green highlights indicate statistically significant change from 2016						Blank cells indicate insufficient sample size for reliable estimation						Composition of the Democratic and Republican electorates						Composition of all voters and nonvoters
5	Group as a share of all 2020 voters	Group as a share of all 2018 voters	Group as a share of all 2016 voters	Label	2020 Biden vote (official result 51%)	2020 Trump (official result 47%)	2020 margin (Biden - Trump)	2018 Democratic House vote (official result 53%)	2018 Republican House vote (official result 44%)	2018 margin (Dem - Rep)	2016 Clinton vote (official result 48%)	2016 Trump vote (official result 46%)	2016 margin (Clinton - Trump)	2020 vote choice margin of error (+/- at 95% CI)	2018 vote choice margin of error (+/- at 95% CI)	2016 vote choice margin of error (+/- at 95% CI)	Group as a share of 2020 Trump voters	Group as a share of 2020 Biden voters	Group as a share of 2018 Republican voters	Group as a share of 2018 Democratic voters	Group as a share of 2016 Trump voters	Group as a share of 2016 Clinton voters	Group as a share of all 2020 voters	Group as a share of all 2020 nonvoters	Group as a share of all 2018 voters	Group as a share of all 2018 nonvoters	Group as a share of all 2016 voters	Group as a share of all 2016 nonvoters

6				Gender
7	48	49	45	Men	48	50	-2	50	48	2	41	52	-11	2.9	2.3	4.6	51	44	53	45	53	39	48	44	49	45	45	51
8	51	51	55	Women	55	44	11	58	40	18	54	39	15	2.2	2.1	4.4	49	55	47	55	47	61	51	55	51	55	55	49
9
10				Race/Ethnicity
11	72	75	74	White	43	55	-12	46	52	-6	39	54	-15	1.9	1.8	3.5	85	61	88	65	88	60	72	55	75	60	74	52
12	11	9	10	Black	92	8	84	92	6	86	91	6	85	5.8	5.6	11.4	2	19	1	16	1	19	11	14	9	14	10	15
13	10	8	10	Hispanic	59	38	21	72	25	47	66	28	38	8.1	5.8	12.4	8	11	5	11	6	14	10	20	8	17	10	19
14	4	2	2	Asian	72	28	44	73	26	47	-	-	-	13.2	9.6	-	2	6	1	3	1	3	4	4	2	3	2	4
15	2	4	3	Other	56	40	16	63	33	30	-	-	-	9.4	8.8	-	2	2	3	4	2	4	2	5	4	5	3	7
16
17				Gender and race
18	35	37	33	Men, White non-Hispanic	40	57	-17	43	55	-12	32	62	-30	3.0	2.6	5.2	43	27	47	29	46	22	35	24	37	26	33	25
19	37	38	41	Women, White non-Hispanic	46	53	-7	50	48	2	45	47	-2	2.3	2.4	4.9	42	33	42	35	42	38	37	31	38	34	41	27
20	4	3	4	Men, Black non-Hispanic	87	12	75	92	6	86	-	-	-	10.8	9.5	-	1	7	0	6	1	7	4	5	3	6	4	9
21	6	6	6	Women, Black non-Hispanic	95	5	90	93	5	88	-	-	-	6.6	6.8	-	1	12	1	10	0	13	6	9	6	9	6	6
22	5	4	5	Men, Hispanic	57	40	17	69	27	42	-	-	-	12.7	8.9	-	4	6	3	6	3	6	5	9	4	9	5	10
23	5	4	5	Women, Hispanic	61	37	24	75	23	52	-	-	-	10.0	7.0	-	4	6	2	5	3	7	5	11	4	8	5	9
24
25				Party
26	35	31	31	Republican	5	94	-89	4	95	-91	4	92	-88	3.1	2.8	5.8	70	4	67	2	64	3	35	17	31	22	31	24
27	36	35	35	Democrat	95	4	91	97	2	95	94	5	89	2.8	2.5	5.4	3	66	2	64	4	68	36	23	35	27	35	30
28	29	33	34	Independent/Other	52	43	9	55	40	15	42	43	-1	3.5	2.8	5.4	27	30	30	34	32	29	29	58	33	49	34	45
29
30				Party/lean
31	48	45	48	Rep/lean Rep	6	92	-86	6	91	-85	4	89	-85	2.8	2.4	4.7	94	6	94	5	94	4	48	41	45	42	48	41
32	50	53	51	Dem/lean Dem	94	4	90	95	3	92	89	5	84	2.3	2.1	4.4	5	91	4	93	6	95	50	46	53	51	51	55
33
34				Party/lean and ideology
35	33	33	30	Cons R/R lean	2	97	-95	2	96	-94	3	94	-91	3.0	2.8	5.7	69	1	71	1	62	2	33	16	33	18	30	22
36	14	12	17	Mod/Lib R	16	79	-63	15	80	-65	8	79	-71	6.1	4.6	7.9	24	4	22	3	31	3	14	24	12	24	17	19
37	24	23	27	Mod/Cons D	91	7	84	91	7	84	85	8	77	3.4	3.2	6.7	4	42	4	40	5	47	24	27	23	31	27	36
38	26	29	25	Lib D/D lean	98	2	96	98	1	97	94	2	92	3.2	2.7	5.8	1	49	0	53	1	48	26	18	29	19	25	19
39
40				Married
41	56	58	52	Married	45	54	-9	46	52	-6	39	55	-16	2.0	2.0	4.1	64	49	68	50	63	43	56	36	58	38	52	36
42	44	42	48	Not married	60	38	22	64	33	31	58	34	24	3.2	2.5	5.0	36	51	31	50	36	57	44	64	42	62	48	64
43
44				Gender and Marital
45	28	30	27	Men, Married	44	54	-10	43	55	-12	32	62	-30	3.0	2.9	5.6	33	24	38	24	36	18	28	16	30	16	27	17
46	27	28	26	Women, Married	46	53	-7	50	48	2	47	48	-1	2.7	2.7	6.0	31	25	31	26	27	25	27	19	28	22	26	20
47	19	19	19	Men, Not married	53	43	10	61	36	25	54	39	15	5.4	4.0	7.9	18	20	15	21	17	21	19	28	19	28	19	34
48	24	23	29	Women, Not married	64	34	30	67	31	36	60	31	29	3.7	3.2	6.4	18	30	16	28	20	36	24	36	23	33	29	30
49
50				Age (4-way)
51	15	11	13	18-29	59	35	24	72	23	49	58	28	30	7.5	5.1	9.5	11	17	6	15	8	16	15	27	11	30	13	33
52	30	30	30	30-49	55	43	12	59	38	21	51	40	11	3.0	2.7	5.5	27	32	26	33	27	32	30	40	30	35	30	33
53	28	29	29	50-64	47	53	-6	50	48	2	45	51	-6	2.9	2.8	6.0	31	25	32	27	33	27	28	21	29	25	29	24
54	27	31	27	65+	48	52	-4	46	52	-6	44	53	-9	2.6	3.0	6.2	30	25	37	26	32	25	27	11	31	10	27	9
55
56				Age (6-way)
57	9	6	6	18-24	-	-	-	75	21	54	-	-	-	-	7.4	-	6	11	3	9	4	7	9	18	6	18	6	20
58	6	5	7	25-29	59	39	20	68	26	42	59	26	33	7.4	6.8	11.5	5	7	3	6	4	9	6	10	5	12	7	13
59	15	14	16	30-39	57	41	16	63	33	30	52	37	15	4.3	3.8	7.6	13	17	11	17	13	18	15	21	14	22	16	18
60	15	15	14	40-49	53	46	7	55	43	12	50	43	7	4.0	3.9	7.9	14	15	15	16	14	15	15	19	15	14	14	16
61	28	29	29	50-64	47	53	-6	50	48	2	45	51	-6	2.9	2.8	6.0	31	25	32	27	33	27	28	21	29	25	29	24
62	27	31	27	65+	48	52	-4	46	52	-6	44	53	-9	2.6	3.0	6.2	30	25	37	26	32	25	27	11	31	10	27	9
63
64				Age (4-way alt)
65	15	11	13	18-29	59	35	24	72	23	49	58	28	30	7.5	5.1	9.5	11	17	6	15	8	16	15	27	11	30	13	33
66	22	21	24	30-44	56	42	14	62	35	27	50	40	10	3.5	3.1	6.4	20	24	17	25	21	25	22	31	21	29	24	27
67	35	37	35	45-64	48	51	-3	50	48	2	47	49	-2	2.6	2.5	5.3	38	33	41	34	38	34	35	30	37	31	35	30
68	27	31	27	65+	48	52	-4	46	52	-6	44	53	-9	2.6	3.0	6.2	30	25	37	26	32	25	27	11	31	10	27	9
69
70				Generation
71	8	12	16	Silent+	42	58	-16	42	57	-15	40	57	-17	4.7	4.8	8.4	10	7	16	9	21	14	8	3	12	4	16	5
72	36	40	36	Boomer	48	51	-3	49	49	0	46	50	-4	2.4	2.5	5.3	39	33	45	36	40	35	36	21	40	24	36	27
73	25	26	24	Xer	51	48	3	55	44	11	49	43	6	3.1	3.0	6.0	26	25	25	26	23	25	25	26	26	25	24	23
74	22	20	22	Millennial	58	39	19	67	28	39	56	31	25	3.7	3.4	7.0	19	25	13	25	15	26	22	34	20	38	22	43
75
76				Generation (alt)
77	0	0	1	Greatest	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
78	8	12	16	Silent	42	58	-16	42	58	-16	39	58	-19	4.7	4.8	8.5	10	7	15	9	20	13	8	3	12	4	16	5
79	36	40	36	Boomer	48	51	-3	49	49	0	46	50	-4	2.4	2.5	5.3	39	33	45	36	40	35	36	21	40	24	36	27
80	25	26	24	Xer	51	48	3	55	44	11	49	43	6	3.1	3.0	6.0	26	25	25	26	23	25	25	26	26	25	24	23
81	30	22	23	Millennial/Gen Z	58	38	20	68	28	40	56	31	25	4.3	3.3	7.0	24	34	14	28	16	27	30	49	22	47	23	45
82
83				Size of place (self-reported)
84	22	23	22	Urban	66	33	33	73	25	48	70	24	46	4.2	3.2	7.1	15	28	13	31	12	32	22	29	23	30	22	27
85	52	53	50	Suburban	54	43	11	52	45	7	45	47	-2	2.4	2.1	4.4	48	55	54	51	53	48	52	44	53	43	50	42
86	26	24	27	Rural	33	65	-32	38	59	-21	34	59	-25	3.5	3.3	7.1	36	17	33	17	35	19	26	27	24	27	27	30
87
88		- - - Based on Whites only - - -		Size of place among Whites*
89	16	19	17	Urban	59	39	20	64	34	30	59	37	22	4.9	3.9	8.2	12	22	13	27	12	26	16	22	19	24	17	19
90	53	53	52	Suburban	47	51	-4	47	51	-4	38	54	-16	2.5	2.3	4.9	49	58	53	54	52	50	53	45	53	43	52	43
91	31	27	30	Rural	28	71	-43	33	64	-31	30	62	-32	3.5	3.6	7.8	39	20	34	19	36	23	31	33	27	32	30	37
92
93				Religious family
94	46	43	47	Protestant	40	59	-19	40	58	-18	39	56	-17	2.4	2.4	4.8	58	35	57	32	58	38	46	39	43	40	47	44
95	20	19	20	Catholic	49	50	-1	46	52	-6	44	52	-8	4.2	3.7	7.5	22	19	22	16	23	18	20	17	19	13	20	15
96	25	30	26	Unaffiliated	71	26	45	75	22	53	65	24	41	3.6	2.9	6.3	14	35	15	42	14	35	25	36	30	39	26	32
97	8	8	8	Other	64	32	32	66	33	33	61	33	28	7.7	5.1	9.1	6	11	6	9	6	10	8	8	8	7	8	9
98
99				Religious tradition
100	19	18	20	White Evangelical Protestant	15	84	-69	17	81	-64	16	77	-61	3.8	3.8	7.0	34	6	33	6	34	7	19	14	18	15	20	13