213
Democratic seats
222
Republican seats

See how Republicans won the House but fell short of a red wave

Voters across the country shifted toward Republicans in the midterm elections — veering further right in areas won by former president Donald Trump and also tacking rightward in nearly all districts won by President Biden. House Republicans, however, picked up only a small number of seats.

Republicans have one of the

smallest swings in 40 years

CHANGE IN HOUSE SEATS

FROM PREVIOUS ELECTION

YEAR

PRESIDENT

+9R

Biden

2022

A “blue

wave”

swept

Democrats

into power.

+42D

2018

Trump

2014

Obama

+13R

The tea party

handed

Democrats a

“shellacking.”

+63R

2010

Obama

2006

W. Bush

+30D

2002

W. Bush

+8R

Shift toward

president’s party

+5D

1998

Clinton

1994

Clinton

+54R

1990

H.W. Bush

+8D

1986

Reagan

+5D

1982

Reagan

+26D

Republicans have one of the smallest

swings in 40 years

CHANGE IN HOUSE SEATS

FROM PREVIOUS ELECTION

YEAR

PRESIDENT

+9R

Biden

2022

A “blue wave”

swept

Democrats

into power.

+42D

2018

Trump

2014

Obama

+13R

+63R

2010

Obama

The tea party

handed Democrats

a “shellacking.”

2006

W. Bush

+30D

2002

W. Bush

+8R

Unusual shift toward

the president’s party.

+5D

1998

Clinton

1994

Clinton

+54R

1990

H.W. Bush

+8D

1986

Reagan

+5D

1982

Reagan

+26D

Republicans have one of the smallest swings in 40 years

YEAR

PRESIDENT

CHANGE IN HOUSE SEATS FROM PREVIOUS ELECTION

+9R

Biden

2022

+42D

A “blue wave” swept

Democrats into power.

2018

Trump

2014

Obama

+13R

The tea party handed

Democrats a “shellacking.”

+63R

2010

Obama

2006

W. Bush

+30D

2002

W. Bush

+8R

Unusual shift toward

the president’s party.

+5D

1998

Clinton

1994

Clinton

+54R

1990

H.W. Bush

+8D

1986

Reagan

+5D

1982

Reagan

+26D

The Republicans earned a narrow nine-seat majority. That unexpected result belies a broader movement to the right when comparing votes in each district with the presidential vote there two years ago.

Republicans won {repWinsCount} districts, while Democrats won {demWinsCount} districts.

Republicans outran Trump’s margins in {repShiftCount} districts. By comparison, Democrats outperformed Biden in just {demShiftCount} districts.

Arrows are shown only in districts where both parties were on the ballot.

Republicans’ gains were sizable in some areas, though rarely enough to pick up seats held by Democrats. The moves either slightly widened existing Republican advantages or narrowed Democratic margins.

2022 winnerDemocratRepublicanDem. or GOP gainover 2020 election

For instance, here are the districts Biden won in 2020. Unsurprisingly, Democratic candidates won most of them. But more than three-quarters of the districts shifted toward Republicans.

Districts that voted for Trump are where Republicans saw many of their largest swings, winning all but {trumpToDem}.

Florida districts swung consistently Republican in an election spearheaded by Gov. Ron DeSantis (R), who pushed an aggressive gerrymander that helped win 20 of the 28 seats. Republicans gained four seats there.

Meanwhile in New York, Democrats lost four seats to Republicans as redistricting made their contests more competitive. Areas upstate voted more like rural areas elsewhere in the country.

Red states like Ohio were broadly good for Republicans. But there were exceptions like the 9th District, where Rep. Marcy Kaptur (D) won by 13 points over J.R. Majewski (R), who attended the Stop the Steal rally preceding the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the Capitol. Trump won this district in 2020.

Democrats performed exceptionally well in Michigan, winning a majority of House seats. Turnout was higher than in 2018, perhaps the result of a competitive race for governor and a ballot measure on abortion rights.

Republicans House candidates outperformed Trump by large margins across California and won {bidenToRepCA} seats in districts where Biden beat Trump.

While Republicans consistently gained compared to 2020, their slim governing majority may make it difficult to push forward an agenda in the new Congress.

correction

The map in a previous version of this article mislabeled Mississippi and Alabama. This version has been corrected.

About this story

Shifts were calculated by comparing the two-party vote share in the 2020 presidential election to the two-party vote share in the 2022 House elections. Shifts were calculated only in districts where both parties had a candidate on the ballot, and a winner was declared.

Sources: Associated Press collection of 2022 local election results. Presidential 2020 votes aggregated to 118th Congress districts with precinct data from Decision Desk HQ. Historical midterm seat gains are from the Brookings Institution.

Editing by Sarah Frostenson and Kevin Uhrmacher. Adrián Blanco contributed to this report.