A spot in the Elite Eight of the NCAA Tournament will go to either the No. 4 UCLA Bruins (28-7) or the No. 8 North Carolina Tar Heels (26-9) when the teams meet in a East Regional Region bracket matchup. Bookmakers think UCLA will emerge victorious, naming the as 2-point favorites. The action starts at 9:39 PM on Friday at Wells Fargo Center.
UCLA is 20-15-1 against the spread this season compared to North Carolina’s 20-16-1 ATS record. The Bruins have gone over the point total in 19 games, while Tar Heels games have gone over 22 times. The two teams combine to score 152.1 points per game, 9.6 more points than this matchup’s total. UCLA has a 6-4-0 record against the spread while going 9-1 overall over the past 10 games. North Carolina has gone 8-2-0 against the spread and 9-1 overall in its last 10 contests.
Here’s what you need to get ready for Friday’s college basketball game.
North Carolina at UCLA odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list.
Spread: UCLA -2
Total: 142.5
Moneyline: UCLA -136, North Carolina +114
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North Carolina at UCLA odds, spread, & more
Prediction
UCLA 74, North Carolina 70
Moneyline
The Bruins have won 28 of the 32 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (87.5%).
UCLA has a 28-4 record (winning 87.5% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -136 or shorter.
Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Bruins’ implied win probability is 57.6%.
The Tar Heels have entered the game as underdogs 10 times this season and won five of those games.
North Carolina is 5-4 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +114 or more on the moneyline.
The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 46.7% chance of a victory for the Tar Heels.
Against the spread
The Bruins score just 1.7 more points per game (73.6) than the Tar Heels give up (71.9).
UCLA is 12-7-1 against the spread and 17-2 overall when scoring more than 71.9 points.
When North Carolina allows fewer than 73.6 points, it is 9-5 against the spread and 14-0 overall.
The Tar Heels score 16.1 more points per game (78.5) than the Bruins allow their opponents to score (62.4).
When it scores more than 62.4 points, North Carolina is 15-12-1 against the spread and 22-7 overall.
UCLA has an ATS record of 16-9-1 and a 23-3 record overall when its opponents score fewer than 78.5 points.
The Bruins have scored a total of 392 more points than their opponents this year (an average of 11.2 per game), and the Tar Heels have out-scored opponents by 230 points on the season (6.6 more per game).
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Over/Under
The average implied total for the Bruins this season is 74.6 points, which equals their implied total in Friday’s game.
So far this season, UCLA has put up more than 72 points in a game 24 times.
The Tar Heels’ average implied point total on the season (77.9 points) is 7.9 points higher than their implied total in this matchup (70 points).
This year, North Carolina has put up more than 70 points in 28 games.
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How to watch UCLA vs. North Carolina
Game Day: Friday, March 25, 2022
Game Time: 9:39 PM ET
Live Stream: Hulu
Find out how to watch March Madness live on Hulu!
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